Reference Case
Table A20. International Liquids Supply and Disposition Summary (Continued)
(Million Barrels per Day, Unless Otherwise Noted)
Supply and Disposition
Reference Case Annual
Growth
2006-2030
2005 2006 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 (percent)
Consumption9
OECD
United States (50 states) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20.80 20.65 20.99 21.59 21.47 21.52 22.11 0.3%
United States Territories . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.37 0.38 0.43 0.47 0.51 0.55 0.59 1.9%
Canada . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.26 2.27 2.32 2.34 2.36 2.38 2.40 0.2%
Mexico . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.03 2.06 2.19 2.36 2.61 2.75 2.95 1.5%
OECD Europe3 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15.42 15.42 15.47 15.63 15.71 15.79 15.86 0.1%
Japan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.16 5.16 5.18 5.21 5.22 5.24 5.26 0.1%
South Korea . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.17 2.18 2.25 2.47 2.57 2.68 2.81 1.1%
Australia and New Zealand . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.03 1.03 1.07 1.13 1.19 1.25 1.28 0.9%
Total OECD . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49.24 49.16 49.90 51.20 51.64 52.16 53.28 0.3%
Non-OECD
Russia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.77 2.79 2.89 3.03 3.13 3.25 3.32 0.7%
Other Non-OECD Eurasia5 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.05 2.09 2.26 2.43 2.64 2.79 2.96 1.5%
China . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6.73 7.26 9.44 10.55 11.96 13.63 15.69 3.3%
India . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.44 2.49 2.68 3.25 3.62 4.03 4.37 2.4%
Other Non-OECD Asia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6.02 6.14 6.67 7.64 8.35 9.08 9.86 2.0%
Middle East7 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.91 6.15 7.13 7.79 8.46 9.18 9.84 2.0%
Africa . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.90 2.99 3.36 3.88 4.35 4.62 4.93 2.1%
Brazil . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.40 2.34 2.57 2.87 3.15 3.42 3.68 1.9%
Other Central and South America . . . . . . . . . . 3.17 3.26 3.51 4.05 4.51 4.98 5.37 2.1%
Total Non-OECD . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34.41 35.51 40.51 45.50 50.16 54.98 60.02 2.2%
Total Consumption . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83.65 84.66 90.40 96.70 101.80 107.14 113.30 1.2%
OPEC Production10 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34.31 34.90 36.40 39.26 40.87 42.91 46.16 1.2%
Non-OPEC Production10 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49.34 49.76 54.00 57.44 60.94 64.23 67.15 1.3%
Net Eurasia Exports . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.15 9.63 11.37 12.91 13.98 14.86 15.43 2.0%
OPEC Market Share (percent) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41.0 41.2 40.3 40.6 40.1 40.0 40.7 -0.0%
1Weighted average price delivered to U.S. refiners.
2Includes production of crude oil (including lease condensates), natural gas plant liquids, other hydrogen and hydrocarbons for refinery feedstocks, alcohol and
other sources, and refinery gains.
3OPEC = Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries - Algeria, Angola, Indonesia, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab
Emirates, and Venezuela. Does not include Ecuador, which was admitted to OPEC as a full member on November 17, 2007.
4OECD Europe = Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development - Austria, Belgium, Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece,
Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Slovakia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, and the United Kingdom.
5Eurasia consists of Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Estonia, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Latvia, Lithuania, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan,
Ukraine, and Uzbekistan.
6Other Asia = Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Brunei, Cambodia (Kampuchea), Fiji, French Polynesia, Guam, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Kiribati, Laos, Malaysia,
Macau, Maldives, Mongolia, Myanmar (Burma), Nauru, Nepal, New Caledonia, Niue, North Korea, Pakistan, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Samoa, Singapore,
Solomon Islands, Sri Lanka, Taiwan, Thailand, Tonga, Vanuatu, and Vietnam.
7Non-OPEC Middle East includes Turkey.
8Includes liquids produced from energy crops, natural gas, coal, oil sands, and shale. Includes both OPEC and non-OPEC producers in the regional
breakdown.
9Includes both OPEC and non-OPEC consumers in the regional breakdown.
10Includes both conventional and nonconventional liquids production.
- - = Not applicable.
Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Data for 2005 and 2006 are model results and may differ slightly from official EIA
data reports.
Sources: 2005 and 2006 low sulfur light crude oil price: Energy Information Administration (EIA), Form EIA-856, “Monthly Foreign Crude Oil Acquisition
Report.” 2005 and 2006 imported crude oil price: EIA, Annual Energy Review 2006, DOE/EIA-0384(2006) (Washington, DC, June 2007). 2005 quantities derived
from: EIA, International Energy Annual 2005, DOE/EIA-0219(2005) (Washington, DC, June-October 2007). 2006 quantities and projections: EIA, AEO2008
National Energy Modeling System run AEO2008.D030208F.
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